The Majority Watch Poll – a Project of TR Strategies and Constituent Dynamics, has Eric Massa leading Randy Kuhl 52% to 40%. Constituent Dynamics promotes their firm as “A new opinion research option for political professionals”.
Click the “Majority Watch Poll” link, and then click the icon located on the map for the 29th District for a detailed breakdown of their results.
Interviews: October 15-16, 2006; Validated respondents: 1,016; MoE: +/- 3.07%; Partisan Identity: Republican 43%; Independent 28%; Democrat 29%.
Another item to note is Bush approval: 28% approve, 63% disapprove, 9% undecided. NY-29 demographics are broken down into the categories of age, gender, race, marital status, occupation, income, and education and a comparison is made using data from the US Census and 2002 Voters.
Here is a pdf file that breaks down the data by party identification, gender, age, geography, race, certainty, etc.
Total Kuhl 40% Rep 63% Dem 10% Ind 35%
Total Massa 52% Rep 31% Dem 82% Ind 54%