Sometimes, a coincidence is just that – a coincidence. Sometimes, when too many coincidences occur under similar circumstances, it just makes you wonder.
Last night on “Countdown with Keith Olbermann” (MSNBC, weeknights at 8:00 pm EST), they revisited a story that they had first broadcasted this past October. I leave it up to you to decide if these are all purely coincidental.
The Nexus of Politics and Terror (Keith Olbermann)
I suggested that in the last three years there had been about 13 similar coincidences – a political downturn for the administration, followed by a “terror event” – a change in alert status, an arrest, a warning.
We bring you these coincidences, reminding you, and ourselves here, that perhaps the simplest piece of wisdom in the world is called “the logical fallacy.” Just because Event “A” occurs, and then Event “B” occurs, that does not automatically mean that Event “A” caused Event “B.”
The following dates indicate A) when an incident occurred that was not favorable to the administration, and B) when a “terror-related” announcement was made by the administration. Click the above link for complete details of these “coincidences”.
1. A) May 18, 2002; B) May 20, 2002
2. A) June 6, 2002; B) June 10, 2002
3. A) Feb. 5, 2003; B) Feb. 7, 2003
4. A) July 23, 2003; B) July 20, 2003
5. A) Dec. 17, 2003; B) Dec. 21, 2003
6. A) Mar. 30, 2004; B) Apr. 2, 2004
7. A) May 16 and May 21, 2004; B) May 26, 2004
8. A) July 6, 2004; B) July 8, 2004
9. A) July 29, 2004; B) Aug 1, 2004
10. A) Oct. 6, 2005; B) Oct. 6, 2005
11. A) Oct. 22, 2004; B) Oct. 29, 2004
12. A) May 5, 2005; B) May 11, 2005
13. A) June 26, 2005; B) June 29, 2005
And now we turn to the events of last week. The Connecticut senate primary election for the democratic candidate was won by a newcomer to politics. The voters chose the newcomer, Ned Lamont, over the three-term incumbent, Joe Lieberman. Lieberman’s views regarding our involvement in Iraq and the global WOT have traditionally mirrored this administration’s views. The top republican leaders would have preferred that Lieberman secured the nomination.
“Voters who supported Lamont’s antiwar campaign in the Democratic primary were giving “the Al Qaeda types” exactly what they wanted, Cheney said.”
And news reports are indicating that Lieberman’s campaign may actually receive funds from republican donors:
A Republican campaign fund-raiser based in Washington, who spoke on condition that he not be identified by name, said, “There’s a definite sense among a significant number of the Republicans who I deal with that Joe Lieberman is a man of principle and a man we should support.”
This fund-raiser said he’ll contribute money to Lieberman’s campaign and raise money for him.
So, is the timing of last week’s events in England, the announcement, and now the subsequent new rules at our airports another one of those “logical fallacies”?
British officials knowledgeable about the case said British police were planning to continue to run surveillance for at least another week to try to obtain more evidence, while American officials pressured them to arrest the suspects sooner. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity due to the sensitivity of the case.
In contrast to previous reports, one senior British official suggested an attack was not imminent, saying the suspects had not yet purchased any airline tickets. In fact, some did not even have passports.
Guess we can add this latest “coincidence” as #14 to the above list.